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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Adam Trautman has gone out for fewer passes this season (72.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (28.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive scheme to skew 1.5% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 57.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 60.8 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.6 per game) this year.

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