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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Adam Trautman's 11.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 23.4.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

The New Orleans Saints have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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