Adam Trautman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Adam Trautman's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 64.1% to 83.8%.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (75.5%) vs. TEs this year (75.5%).
The Atlanta Falcons linebackers rank as the 8th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
Adam Trautman has been a less important option in his offense's air attack this season (5.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.7%).
The Atlanta Falcons pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.

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