Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a giant 9-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.28 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.

Favors Under

Adam Trautman's 26.5% Route Participation% this year marks a remarkable decline in his passing attack utilization over last year's 60.2% mark.
Adam Trautman has compiled far fewer air yards this year (9.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
With a subpar 63.9% Adjusted Completion% (25th percentile) this year, Adam Trautman ranks among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

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