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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

This year, the weak Chargers pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 81.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by the projection model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

Adam Trautman's 2.0% Target Rate this season represents a meaningful decline in his passing offense workload over last season's 7.9% mark.

Adam Trautman has totaled far fewer air yards this season (2.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).

Adam Trautman comes in as one of the worst possession receivers in football among tight ends, catching just 64.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile.

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