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Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-135).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.The Denver offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.Adam Trautman's 10.9 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a remarkable growth in his receiving skills over last year's 6.8 mark.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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After accumulating 18.0 air yards per game last season, Adam Trautman has gotten worse this season, currently sitting at 9.0 per game.Adam Trautman's 8.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 17.9.Adam Trautman checks in as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, catching a measly 64.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.This year, the formidable Chargers defense has conceded a measly 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-fewest in the league.The Chargers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus TEs this year, conceding 6.30 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
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