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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.
  • Adam Trautman's pass-game efficiency has gotten better this year, compiling 10.35 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 6.83 rate last year.
  • With an impressive 6.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Adam Trautman ranks as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in the league in space.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (63.0) to TEs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • Adam Trautman has notched far fewer air yards this season (7.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
  • Adam Trautman's 7.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 17.9.

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