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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
  • Adam Trautman's 72.9% Route Participation Rate this season shows a substantial improvement in his passing offense usage over last season's 28.5% mark.
  • After totaling 8.0 air yards per game last year, Adam Trautman has been rising this year, now sitting at 17.0 per game.
  • This year, the weak Chiefs defense has conceded the 9th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 6.31 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
  • Adam Trautman's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 80.6% to 63.5%.
  • Adam Trautman's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 4.98 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.19 mark last season.

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