Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
Adam Trautman's 72.9% Route Participation Rate this season shows a substantial improvement in his passing offense usage over last season's 28.5% mark.
After totaling 8.0 air yards per game last year, Adam Trautman has been rising this year, now sitting at 17.0 per game.
This year, the weak Chiefs defense has conceded the 9th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 6.31 YAC.

Favors Under

The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
Adam Trautman's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 80.6% to 63.5%.
Adam Trautman's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 4.98 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.19 mark last season.

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