Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 12, 2023 8:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
Adam Trautman has run fewer routes this season (76.0% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (28.5%).
Adam Trautman has compiled many more air yards this year (15.0 per game) than he did last year (8.0 per game).
This year, the feeble Chiefs defense has yielded a monstrous 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 7th-most in the league.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.07 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-most in football.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 61.9 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
Adam Trautman's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 80.6% to 66.1%.
Adam Trautman's 5.8 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a a significant drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 9.2 figure.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Kansas City's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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