Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Adam Trautman has gone out for fewer passes this season (72.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (28.5%).
After averaging 8.0 air yards per game last year, Adam Trautman has posted big gains this year, currently boasting 15.0 per game.
The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (55.0) to tight ends this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive scheme to skew 1.5% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 57.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 60.8 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.6 per game) this year.

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