Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+122/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.
Adam Trautman has played on 70.7% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.21 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 57.6 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this game.
Adam Trautman has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, completing just 65.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (65.8%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (65.8%).
The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the 7th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.