Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-101/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Adam Trautman's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 64.1% to 83.8%.
Adam Trautman's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 8.99 yards-per-target vs just 6.56 mark last year.
Adam Trautman's ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this year, notching 6.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 4.30 rate last year.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (64.0) to TEs this year.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
Adam Trautman has been a less important option in his offense's air attack this season (5.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.7%).
Adam Trautman has totaled far fewer air yards this season (9.0 per game) than he did last season (20.0 per game).

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