Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 6, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a huge 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Adam Trautman to earn 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Adam Trautman to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game this week (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.4% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
Adam Trautman has notched quite a few less air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (20.0 per game).
Adam Trautman has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (24.0).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 38.0) to TEs this year.

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