My Account Log Out
 
 
Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Adam Trautman's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 64.1% to 86.2%.
  • Adam Trautman's receiving effectiveness has been refined this season, compiling 8.10 yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.57 mark last season.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.
  • Adam Trautman has been used less as a potential target this season (23.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (56.9%).
  • Adam Trautman has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (10.0 per game) than he did last year (20.0 per game).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™