Adam Trautman Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving TD

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+920/-3500).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Adam Trautman's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 64.1% to 88.6%.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line has allowed their QB 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The New Orleans Saints have gone up against a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Adam Trautman has posted far fewer air yards this year (10.0 per game) than he did last year (20.0 per game).
Adam Trautman's 10.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 23.4.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 7th-least passing touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.12 per game this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the 8th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.