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Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Adam Trautman Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+438/-1005).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -773 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1005.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Adam Trautman has received a monstrous 8.4% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among tight ends.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed the 4th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL to TEs: 0.53 per game since the start of last season.

The Atlanta Falcons linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.9 plays per game.

Adam Trautman has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a measly 64.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 19th percentile.

The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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