My Account Log Out

reorder

Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Adam Thielen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

With an impressive 5.9 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Adam Thielen ranks as one of the best WRs in the league in football.

With an outstanding 76.0% Adjusted Completion% (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Adam Thielen stands as one of the best possession receivers in football among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Panthers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Adam Thielen to be a much smaller part of his team's pass game in this contest (19.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (26.0% in games he has played).

More Adam Thielen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™