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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Adam Thielen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Panthers being an enormous -9.5-point underdog this week.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.5 per game) this year.

In this contest, Adam Thielen is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.5 targets.

Adam Thielen's 79.0% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a noteworthy gain in his receiving skills over last season's 76.0% figure.

This year, the feeble Buccaneers pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 67.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are predicted by the predictive model to call just 64.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Panthers this year (a measly 54.7 per game on average).

Adam Thielen has been a less important option in his offense's pass attack this year (20.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.7%).

Adam Thielen's 4.8 adjusted catches per game this season indicates an impressive diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 6.1 rate.

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