My Account Log Out

reorder

Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

Adam Thielen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

In this game, Adam Thielen is projected by the predictive model to land in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.7 targets.

Adam Thielen's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 76.0% to 79.9%.

The Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68%) to WRs this year (68.0%).

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to pass on 52.0% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

Adam Thielen's 19.1% Target Share this season indicates a noteworthy reduction in his pass game utilization over last season's 26.7% mark.

More Adam Thielen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™