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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers

Adam Thielen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a big -14-point underdog this week.

In this contest, Adam Thielen is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.8 targets.

While Adam Thielen has received 16.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Carolina's passing offense in this week's contest at 21.0%.

Adam Thielen is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in an exceptional 76.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.2% pass rate.

The projections expect the Panthers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

Adam Thielen's receiving skills have diminished this year, notching a mere 3.8 adjusted catches vs 6.1 last year.

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