My Account Log Out

reorder

Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Adam Thielen Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Adam Thielen has run a route on 90.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.6%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (64.6%).

More Adam Thielen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™