My Account Log Out
 
 
Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
  • The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Adam Thielen ranks in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season with a remarkable 26.6% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
  • With a fantastic 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Adam Thielen ranks among the best wide receivers in the game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (54.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Adam Thielen to be a less important option in his offense's passing game in this week's game (18.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.4% in games he has played).
  • The Panthers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™