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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

In regards to air yards, Adam Thielen grades out in the lofty 76th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 67.0 per game.

Adam Thielen checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 62.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Panthers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Adam Thielen to be a much smaller part of his team's pass game in this contest (19.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (26.0% in games he has played).

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