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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Panthers being an enormous -9.5-point underdog this week.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.5 per game) this year.

In this contest, Adam Thielen is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.5 targets.

Adam Thielen has accrued a whopping 68.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among WRs.

With an outstanding 60.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (81st percentile) this year, Adam Thielen ranks among the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.6% pass rate.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are predicted by the predictive model to call just 64.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Panthers this year (a measly 54.7 per game on average).

Adam Thielen has been a less important option in his offense's pass attack this year (20.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.7%).

The Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 7.65 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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