My Account Log Out

reorder

Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard approach.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

The leading projections forecast Adam Thielen to garner 8.1 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

Adam Thielen has accumulated a whopping 67.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile among wide receivers.

With a remarkable 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (83rd percentile) this year, Adam Thielen rates among the top WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.9% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

Adam Thielen's 20.1% Target% this year indicates a meaningful decrease in his passing game utilization over last year's 26.7% rate.

This year, the formidable Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded a paltry 136.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-fewest in the league.

More Adam Thielen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™