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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (39.1 per game) this year.

In this week's game, Adam Thielen is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.9 targets.

Adam Thielen has been a more important option in his offense's passing attack this year (26.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (16.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Panthers to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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