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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+115/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
  • Adam Thielen has run a route on 97.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Adam Thielen to accumulate 6.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Adam Thielen has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
  • Adam Thielen's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this season, averaging just 1.80 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.88 mark last season.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) vs. wideouts this year (62.7%).
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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