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Adam Thielen
NFL · Player Props
Adam Thielen
WR · Minnesota Vikings
Receiving Yards
Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC
NFL Props Adam Thielen Receiving Yards

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Adam Thielen to accumulate 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
Favors Under
  • Adam Thielen has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 93.5% of snaps vs just 77.5% last year.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Adam Thielen's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.8% to 70.0%.
  • Adam Thielen's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 8.24 yards-per-target compared to a 9.39 mark last year.
  • Adam Thielen's skills in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, notching a measly 2.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.88 figure last year.
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