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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

Adam Thielen Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+181/-263).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +181.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Adam Thielen has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.4% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.

Adam Thielen has posted a colossal 73.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among wideouts.

Adam Thielen's 52.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 82nd percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Adam Thielen's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 77.8% to 71.5%.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in the league to wide receivers: 0.43 per game this year.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

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