Adam Thielen Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Adam Thielen

NFL · Player Props

Adam Thielen

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving TD

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Adam Thielen Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Adam Thielen has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 17.3% this year, which puts him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
Adam Thielen has totaled a colossal 71.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among WRs.
Adam Thielen ranks in the 75th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.31 per game.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Adam Thielen's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.8% to 71.3%.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the 6th-least passing TDs in the NFL to WRs: 0.69 per game this year.

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