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Adam Thielen

Adam Thielen Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Adam Thielen Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-320).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

Adam Thielen has notched a colossal 73.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among WRs.

Adam Thielen's 48.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 76th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Adam Thielen's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.8% to 69.7%.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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