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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.9% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 133.4 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

In this week's contest, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 55.6 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.5 per game) this year.

This year, the strong Rams defense has conceded a paltry 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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