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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Jets to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects the Jets to be the most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.4% red zone pass rate.

The New York Jets offense has played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.51 seconds per play.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

This week, Aaron Rodgers is expected by our trusted projection set to total the 4th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the tough Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a puny 1.22 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 9th-best rate in football.

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