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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-262/+187).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -235 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -262.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.2% pass rate.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Aaron Rodgers has been among the most on-target QBs in the NFL since the start of last season with an impressive 70.3% Completion%, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Aaron Rodgers has been among the best touchdown throwers in football since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 2.06 per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 8th-most TDs through the air in the league: 1.72 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 34.2 passes in this game, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in football versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season (67.7%).

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