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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 61.3% red zone pass rate.

Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Aaron Rodgers has been among the top touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 1.70 per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year (74.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 32.9 passes this week, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.

Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 70.6% to 66.7%.

The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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