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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -163 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.3% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 38.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Rodgers's passing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 70.6% to 66.3%.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in football: 1.00 per game this year.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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