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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a heavy 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (6.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.6% in games he has played).

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Opposing squads have run for the most yards in the NFL (160 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year.

The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 29th-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-least run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 37.2% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to total 1.6 rush attempts this week, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.

Aaron Rodgers has generated a measly 3.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (22nd percentile).

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