Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

Favors Under

The Packers are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 32.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to notch 1.3 carries in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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