Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (7.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.3% in games he has played).
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
The Detroit Lions defense has had the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 5.41 yards-per-carry.
The Detroit Lions safeties grade out as the 28th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to notch 2.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 11th-least of all QBs.
Aaron Rodgers has picked up a mere 6.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among QBs (20th percentile).
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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