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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (7.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.3% in games he has played).
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
  • The Detroit Lions defense has had the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 5.41 yards-per-carry.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties grade out as the 28th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to notch 2.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 11th-least of all QBs.
  • Aaron Rodgers has picked up a mere 6.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among QBs (20th percentile).
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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