Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (7.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.4% in games he has played).
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to notch 1.9 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
Aaron Rodgers has picked up a mere 6.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among QBs (21st percentile).
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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