My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 246.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 236.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 67.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 39.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.

Aaron Rodgers has been among the best precision passers in the league this year with a stellar 67.9% Completion%, grading out in the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Aaron Rodgers's throwing effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging just 6.84 yards-per-target compared to a 8.15 mark last year.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 6.82 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.

The Buffalo Bills defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.81 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in football.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Aaron Rodgers Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™