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Aaron Rodgers
NFL · Player Props
Aaron Rodgers
QB · Green Bay Packers
Passing Yards
Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2022 Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 245.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 241.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 245.5 @ +104.

Favors Over
  • Aaron Rodgers has been among the most on-target passers in football this year with a stellar 69.1% Completion%, checking in at the 91st percentile.
  • The New York Jets defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 7.26 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-most in the league.
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Packers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 34.7 passes this week, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
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