Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 255.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the most yards in the league (289.0 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, giving up 8.39 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the NFL.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.72 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
Aaron Rodgers has thrown for a lot fewer yards per game (235.0) this season than he did last season (269.0).
Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.8% to 66.2%.
The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks project as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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