Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 255.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 251.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 255.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Opposing QBs have passed for the most yards in football (260.0 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
The Miami Dolphins cornerbacks grade out as the worst CB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 35.3 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
Aaron Rodgers has passed for a lot fewer yards per game (233.0) this season than he did last season (269.0).
Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.8% to 66.3%.
The Miami Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.66 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the league.

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