Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Aaron Rodgers's passing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 70.6% to 66.2%.
Aaron Rodgers's pass-game efficiency has worsened this year, compiling just 7.02 yards-per-target compared to a 8.15 figure last year.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 6th-least yards in football (just 192.0 per game) vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

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