Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 237.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 240.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 38.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Aaron Rodgers's passing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 70.6% to 66.3%.
Aaron Rodgers's throwing effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling a mere 6.91 yards-per-target compared to a 8.15 figure last year.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 4th-least yards in football (just 200.0 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, giving up 6.64 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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