Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · New York Jets

Pass Attempts

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 21, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In registering a whopping 37.3 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers stands among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (87th percentile) for this stat.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

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