Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · New York Jets

Pass Attempts

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 30, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in football (63.1% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New York Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially deflated (and rushing stats propped up a bit) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with improved conditions in this week's contest.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 6 points.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number on the slate this week.

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