Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Pass Attempts

Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 35.3 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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