Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Pass Attempts

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 20, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 32.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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